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Volato Group, Inc. (SOAR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Volato achieved profitability from continuing operations in Q1 2025, reporting revenue of $25.5M, net income of $0.5M and diluted EPS of $0.03; gross profit was $4.5M and EBITDA was $2.7M, marking a significant improvement versus Q1 2024’s net loss of $17.4M and EBITDA loss of $4.2M .
  • Total liabilities fell from $62.6M at 12/31/2024 to $39.2M by 3/31/2025, aided by debt reduction, asset sales, and deposit releases, materially improving balance sheet flexibility .
  • Management plans to raise approximately $8.0M in outside equity and continue settling liabilities to extend the operating runway beyond 12 months; the $4.5M drawn from the $36M convertible facility is expected to convert to equity in Q2 2025 .
  • Outlook: Company expects profitability in Q2 and Q4 2025, with Q3 projected negative based on aircraft delivery timing; April delivery of the third G280 is expected to contribute to Q2 revenue and margin similarly to Q1 .
  • Wall Street consensus estimates (S&P Global) for EPS and revenue were unavailable; no beat/miss assessment versus Street can be made based on S&P Global data [GetEstimates].

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Achieved profitability from continuing operations with net income of $0.5M and diluted EPS of $0.03, reversing prior-year losses; CEO: “Profitability from continuing operations… are all signals that our strategy is working” .
  • Significant liability reduction: total liabilities declined by over $20M to $39.2M QoQ, aided by SAC G280 credit facility paydown ($19.5M) and deposit release ($9.0M) linked to G280 delivery timing .
  • Vaunt at cash flow breakeven, on track for full-year profitability; subscription revenue increased to $0.383M from $0.048M YoY .

What Went Wrong

  • Financing costs elevated: Q1 interest expense was $2.4M, reflecting aircraft financing arrangements; non-cash fair value loss on the convertible note was $0.849M .
  • Going-concern uncertainty persists: negative working capital of ~$18.2M and accumulated deficit of ~$103.9M; liquidity depends on aircraft sales and external capital raises .
  • Legal overhang and operational transition: WARN Act litigation from 2024 layoffs and continued resolution of discontinued operations liabilities ($11.0M outstanding as of 3/31/2025) .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q3 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.05 $40.27 $25.48
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)N/AN/A$4.50
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(17.39) $(4.44) (total) $0.46
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(14.93) $(0.15) (total) $0.03
EBITDA ($USD Millions, non-GAAP)$(4.19) $3.17 (Adj. EBITDA) $2.66

Notes:

  • EBITDA is non-GAAP; Q1 2025 reconciliation provided in EX-99.1 .
  • Q3 2024 EBITDA shown as Adjusted EBITDA per press release reconciliation .
  • Estimate comparisons are omitted because S&P Global consensus was unavailable [GetEstimates].

Segment/Revenue Mix

Revenue CategoryQ3 2024Q1 2025
Aircraft Sales ($USD Millions)$38.15 $25.10
Managed Aircraft ($USD Millions)$1.80 — (discontinued ops)
Subscription ($USD Millions)$0.32 $0.38
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$40.27 $25.48

Key Balance Sheet and Liquidity KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q1 2025
Cash and Equivalents ($USD Millions)$3.76 $2.58
Total Liabilities ($USD Millions)$67.57 $39.24
Customer Deposits & Deferred Revenue ($USD Millions)$11.77 $9.32
Credit Facility & Other Loans (Net) ($USD Millions)$38.91 (current + non-current) $8.32
Convertible Notes (Fair Value) ($USD Millions)N/A$4.90

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Profitability cadenceFY 2025Not disclosedExpect profitable Q2 and Q4; Q3 negative due to delivery timing New cadence disclosed
Capital plans2025Not disclosedRaise ~$8.0M equity; continue liability settlements to extend runway >12 months New capital raise plan
Convertible facilityQ2 2025$4.5M drawn; fair value $4.9M Expect conversion of drawn amount to equity in Q2 Clarified conversion timing
Aircraft deliveriesQ2 2025G280 program ongoing Third G280 delivered April; expected to support Q2 revenue/margin consistent with Q1 Delivery update

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our document sources; themes are drawn from the 8-K press release and 10-Q.

TopicQ3 2024 MentionsQ4 2024 MentionsQ1 2025 Current PeriodTrend
Technology initiatives (Mission Control)Adoption by a top-tier operator; expansion opportunity Reinforced turnaround momentum in PR; no specific tech update Focus on software and Vaunt; subscription growth Continuing focus; monetization via Vaunt
Supply chain/aircraft delivery timingDelivered first G280 in Q3; orders for 3 more Anticipated positive Q4 net income tied to initiatives Second G280 delivered Feb; third delivered April; Q3 2025 negative expected due to delivery timing Deliveries pace drives quarterly cadence
Cost structure/SG&ASG&A lowered 75% sequentially; run rate $0.7M Continued turnaround narrative SG&A $2.0M; down YoY; disciplined cash mgmt Sustained cost discipline
Capital structure/liquidityCompliance plan accepted; cash $3.8M Withdrew S-1; expected positive Q4 NI Plan to raise ~$8M; convertible note fair value $4.9M; runway extension focus Active liability mgmt and financing
Regulatory/legalWARN Act litigation disclosed; risk assessment ongoing New legal overhang

Management Commentary

  • CEO Matt Liotta: “Profitability from continuing operations, major liability reductions, and operational growth across our platforms are all signals that our strategy is working” .
  • CEO on capital structure: “Settling liabilities at a discount and executing on a targeted equity raise us a clear path to stability without excessive dilution… Now we’re using that position to strengthen the business long-term.” .
  • CFO Mark Heinen: “We’re managing cash tightly… operational discipline, creditor engagement, and a focused capital raise is designed to extend our runway and position Volato for long-term financial sustainability.” .
  • MD&A perspective: Revenue growth driven by aircraft sales (second G280 delivered); SG&A decreased due to 2024 cost savings initiatives; interest expense increased due to aircraft financing arrangements .

Q&A Highlights

No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was available; therefore, no Q&A highlights or clarifications could be sourced from a call [ListDocuments earnings-call-transcript: 0 found].

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for EPS and revenue (Q1 2025, Q2 2025, FY 2025) were unavailable via our data retrieval; as a result, we cannot assess beats/misses versus Street for this quarter [GetEstimates].
  • Implication: Analysts will likely revisit models given the shift to aircraft sales-driven revenue, Vaunt subscription ramp, and quarterly profitability cadence tied to delivery timing .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Profitability Inflection: Q1 delivered positive net income and diluted EPS $0.03, driven by aircraft sales and cost control; monitor near-term cadence tied to G280 deliveries (Q2 profitable, Q3 negative, Q4 profitable) .
  • Balance Sheet De-risking: Total liabilities reduced to $39.2M; remaining SAC G280 line repaid in April, reducing interest drag and improving flexibility .
  • Capital Path: ~$8M planned equity raise and expected Q2 conversion of the $4.5M convertible note aim to extend runway beyond 12 months; dilution risk balanced against solvency objectives .
  • Revenue Mix Evolution: Recurring subscription revenue (Vaunt) is growing but remains small; near-term revenue/margin predominantly tied to aircraft transactions (delivery/sale timing) .
  • Risk Watch: Elevated interest expense ($2.4M in Q1) and going-concern language highlight dependence on successful aircraft sales and financing access; litigation adds uncertainty .
  • Tactical Catalyst: April delivery of the third G280 expected to support Q2 revenue/margin consistent with Q1; potential further creditor settlements could provide additional non-operating gains .
  • Medium-term Thesis: Transition away from operating the fleet (to flyExclusive) lowers operating complexity; focus on software (Mission Control) and Vaunt could build a more asset-light profile over time .

Additional Context on Prior Quarters

  • Q3 2024: Revenue $40.3M; net loss from continuing ops $(1.3)M; Adjusted EBITDA $3.2M; SG&A down 75%; first G280 delivered .
  • Q4 2024: Company withdrew S-1 and anticipated positive Q4 net income per press release, but detailed 8-K 2.02 results not found in our document set .

Non-GAAP Note: EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure; reconciliations provided in Q1 2025 EX-99.1 and Q3 2024 press materials .